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Has a nuclear nightmare created a more empowered electorate in the Ukraine?  
By Cynthia Annett | February 15, 2005
Not long ago I had the good fortune to attend the last big party of the "Orange Revolution." For weeks we had anxiously watched the news while the Ukrainian presidential campaign unfolded, passing emails back and forth trying to decide whether it would be safe for us to travel to Kyiv. We were an odd assortment of colleagues, Americans and Russians and Ukrainians, and there had been a lot of talk of the potential for either anti-American or anti-Russian violence, depending on how the election turned out.

But then we were actually there. Watching the fireworks go off while rock music blared through downtown Kyiv, it was impossible not to feel like a great weight had just been lifted off everyone's shoulders. Even my Russian colleague broke into a smile at the sheer exuberance around us. He commented that being on the streets during Viktor A. Yushchenko's inauguration was like being in a time warp, taking him back to the days of the pro-democracy demonstrations of the late 1980s in Moscow. But he said he suspects that the Ukrainians missed out on the euphoria of the original democratization movement because, as he put it, "when everything fell apart they were left with Chernobyl". In his opinion, that was an injustice and a terrible burden. We agreed that what we were witnessing seemed almost as if an entire society was emerging from a kind of decades-long post-traumatic stress.

The feeling we all had of catastrophe averted was legitimate. That the protests had ended peacefully was a miracle; it could have ended badly. The government had raw power on its side. People were being abducted, murdered, thrown in prison, fired from their jobs and professionally ruined, threatened by police and military violence...it was really ugly and getting uglier.

On the side of the opposition were university professors, students, environmentalists, musicians, journalists, housewives: an opposition completely lacking the ability to defend itself from the military intervention they expected to face. My Ukrainian friend and colleague honestly feared for her life last fall when she agreed to work as an election monitor in a prison. And there was every reason to believe that the army would open fire on the protestors: the military was in fact mobilized and the orders were given for them to go to Kyiv and disperse the crowds.

There were two critical decisions that saved the opposition: the elite special operations forces sided with the opposition at the last minute; and the upper echelons of the military demanded written orders before they would allow troops to open fire on civilians. Then, President Leonid D. Kuchma bowed to intense international pressure and refused to sign the orders and Prime Minister and presidential candidate Viktor F. Yanukovich apparently realized it would not be a good move for his campaign. So the order to open fire was never issued. But it got that close.

Below the unassuming demeanor of the Ukranian opposition leaders there is a toughness you don't see in most American liberals. That toughness comes out of almost two decades of dealing with the aftermath of the Chernobyl catastrophe. You can't overstate the importance of Chernobyl in the lives of people in Kyiv. The kids who fueled the Orange Revolution are the first generation born after that catastrophe, and no one knows what the effects will be on their health, as they grow older. The average lifespan in Ukraine, especially the area around Kyiv, is far below that of most Europeans. So many people died in the initial clean-up and so many are suffering from cancer and other health problems from the continuing work of monitoring and containing the radiation that there probably aren't any families that haven't been affected.

Chernobyl is the Ukranian's version of Albert Camus' story "The Plague", both literally and allegorically. After all, beyond the obvious issue of the ongoing threat to their health, these were the people who were lied to by the Soviet government during the cover-up of the catastrophe in the 1980's and needlessly exposed to radiation poisoning. I was humbled by the courage of the people I spoke with who regularly worked within the exclusion zone and the reactor site itself. Those were the people opposing Kuchma and Yanukovich and in reality there isn't much that actually scares them anymore.
 
Chernobyl is something those folks live with on a daily basis and is far from forgotten. That's why I don't think the political activism in Ukraine is simply a reaction to historical events; I think it's a reaction to current, lived reality.

With help from the international community, Ukraine is currently in the process of building a new sarcophagus around the destroyed reactor and will soon begin the process of removing the nuclear waste that still threatens them. While this is going on they need to have confidence that there won't be further accidents. And they need to be confident that they are getting honest information about issues impacting their health.

There's a pervasive desire in Kyiv to get on with life and make things work again. Kuchma, and his successor Yanukovich, were not providing them with confidence that things would move forward, and in the end those two were defeated by a courageous and energetic grassroots movement that was twenty years in the making.

What a party.



 


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